Dependent Variable: ln (doc) | Lag1 | Lag2 | Lag3 | Lag4 | Lag5 | Lag6 | Lag7 | Lag8 | Lag9 | Lag10 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
year dummies | β | −0.004*** | −0.004*** | −0.004*** | − 0.004*** | −0.001 | − 0.004*** | − 0.005*** | − 0.004*** | −0.004*** | − 0.003*** |
SD | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | |
ln (doc) | β | −0.616*** | −0.765*** | − 0.808*** | −0.894*** | −1.003*** | −1.045*** | −1.130*** | −1.011*** | − 0.986*** | −0.971*** |
SD | 0.103 | 0.126 | 0.138 | 0.148 | 0.162 | 0.167 | 0.164 | 0.177 | 0.182 | 0.179 | |
ln (gdp) | β | −0.152** | −0.111 | −0.053 | − 0.038 | −0.085 | − 0.043 | −0.073 | 0.027 | 0.06 | 0.048 |
SD | 0.052 | 0.067 | 0.074 | 0.080 | 0.089 | 0.093 | 0.090 | 0.101 | 0.106 | 0.103 | |
ln (gdp)*ln (doc) | β | 0.044** | 0.044* | 0.04* | 0.044* | 0.054* | 0.051* | 0.067** | 0.043 | 0.039 | 0.042 |
SD | 0.014 | 0.017 | 0.019 | 0.020 | 0.022 | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.024 | 0.025 | 0.026 | |
lngdp2*ln (doc) | β | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.002** | − 0.001 | −0.001 | − 0.001 |
SD | < 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | |
ln (pop) | β | −0.003 | 0.003 | 0.009 | 0.013* | −0.011 | 0.022** | 0.027*** | 0.035*** | 0.039*** | 0.036*** |
SD | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.008 | |
ln (gov) | β | 0.071*** | 0.095*** | 0.118*** | 0.149*** | 0.042*** | 0.192*** | 0.219*** | 0.222*** | 0.232*** | 0.225*** |
SD | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.012 | 0.013 | 0.009 | 0.015 | 0.015 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.016 | |
AIC | − 3637.371 | − 1975.381 | − 1265.98 | − 835.235 | −337.375 | − 423.285 | −318.55 | − 426.805 | − 448.377 | − 546.82 | |
BIC | − 3617.57 | − 1955.745 | − 1246.518 | − 815.958 | −318.295 | −404.415 | −299.907 | − 408.406 | −430.243 | −528.977 | |
−2 log like lihood | − 3643.375 | −1981.385 | − 1271.985 | − 841.24 | − 343.381 | − 429.291 | − 324.556 | −432.812 | −454.385 | −552.829 | |
Dependent Variable: ln (bed) | |||||||||||
year dummies | β | −0.003*** | −0.004*** | −0.005*** | −0.005*** | −0.001 | −0.003*** | − 0.002*** | −0.002*** | − 0.001*** | −0.001** |
SD | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | |
ln (bed) | β | −0.057 | −0.093 | 0.184 | 0.051 | −0.049 | −0.431** | − 0.76*** | −1.078*** | −1.269*** | −1.293*** |
SD | 0.065 | 0.084 | 0.104 | 0.120 | 0.136 | 0.143 | 0.151 | 0.155 | 0.158 | 0.162 | |
ln (gdp) | β | 0.134*** | 0.249*** | 0.560*** | 0.590*** | 0.543*** | 0.354*** | 0.119 | −0.118 | −0.323** | −0.440*** |
SD | 0.037 | 0.048 | 0.060 | 0.070 | 0.080 | 0.086 | 0.093 | 0.097 | 0.101 | 0.105 | |
ln (gdp)*ln (bed) | β | −0.003 | −0.005 | −0.043** | − 0.028 | −0.016 | 0.026 | 0.064** | 0.102*** | 0.122*** | 0.118*** |
SD | 0.009 | 0.011 | 0.014 | 0.016 | 0.018 | 0.019 | 0.020 | 0.021 | 0.022 | 0.022 | |
lngdp2*ln (bed) | β | −0.000* | −0.001** | −0.001* | −0.002*** | − 0.002*** | −0.003*** | − 0.003*** | −0.004*** | − 0.004*** | −0.003*** |
SD | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | |
ln (pop) | β | 0.008*** | 0.019*** | 0.033*** | 0.041*** | 0.013** | 0.042*** | 0.040*** | 0.039*** | 0.040*** | 0.042*** |
SD | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.006 | |
ln (gov) | β | 0.060*** | 0.104*** | 0.148*** | 0.170*** | 0.028*** | 0.149*** | 0.113*** | 0.079*** | 0.051*** | 0.028* |
SD | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.009 | 0.007 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.013 | 0.014 | 0.014 | |
AIC | − 9835.489 | − 6943.795 | − 5241.642 | − 4034.877 | − 2839.135 | − 2492.198 | − 2151.791 | −2030.466 | − 1934.433 | − 1898.389 | |
BIC | − 9815.688 | − 6924.159 | − 5222.18 | − 4015.599 | − 2820.055 | − 2473.328 | − 2133.148 | −2012.067 | − 1916.299 | − 1880.546 | |
−2 log likelihood | − 9841.493 | − 6949.800 | − 5247.647 | − 4040.882 | − 2845.141 | − 2498.204 | − 2157.797 | − 2036.473 | − 1940.441 | − 1904.397 |